Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

Geng Qingguo

Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 123-128.

PDF(1418 KB)
PDF(1418 KB)
Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 123-128.

Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake

  • Geng Qingguo

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Abstract

According to many years of earthquake prediction exploring work based on analysis of drought -earthquake relations and ordered strong earthquake activities and the method of strong geomagnetic storm combinations,the paper briefly reviewed the consecutive three year studies of seismic activities in the Sichuan-Gansu-Qinghai-Shaanxiregion, especially within the Sichuan Abazhou area, and revealed the main points of the "Urgent advice to enhance strong earthquake short-term/imminent monitoring and analysis prediction contingency work for the Sichuan-Gansu-Qinghai-Shaanxi region"  report submitted to the China seismological Bureau on Dec.8, 2005.

Keywords

Wenchuan Large Earthquake prediction / drought-earthquake relations / strong earthquake activities order / strong geomagnetic storm combination method

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Geng Qingguo. Prediction and thoughts of the Wenchuan large earthquake. Strategic Study of CAE, 2009, 11(6): 123‒128
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