Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussing Li Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

Zhao Wenjin

Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 4-15.

PDF(2015 KB)
PDF(2015 KB)
Strategic Study of CAE ›› 2009, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (6) : 4-15.

Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussing Li Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought

  • Zhao Wenjin

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Abstract

According to the experience and problems of seismic monitoring and earthquake prediction for many years in China, it was discussed the earthquake mechanism, preliminary methods for prediction research and the mechanism and miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake, analyzed prediction precursor of short-term and impending earthquake, seismometry application limitation and ground stress transfer and track, and put forward 9 suggestions for future earthquake prediction.

Keywords

Wenchuan Earthquake / earthquake prediction / ground stress / Li Siguang

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Zhao Wenjin. Pondering over the scientific thinking of earthquake prediction from the miss report of Wenchuan Earthquake—re-discussing Li Siguang’s earthquake prediction thought. Strategic Study of CAE, 2009, 11(6): 4‒15
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