Journal Home Online First Current Issue Archive For Authors Journal Information 中文版

Strategic Study of CAE >> 2007, Volume 9, Issue 4

A Modification of Evacuation Time Computational Model andSimulation Comparison Analyses With Olympic Stadium

Research Center of Urban Public Safety, Nankai University, Tianjin 300071, China

Funding project:国家自然科学基金资助项目(70373031) Received: 2006-05-16 Revised: 2006-07-13

Next Previous

Abstract

In this paper, a computational evacuation discrete time model(EDTM) has been presented to analyze the building egress evacuation time problem with previous works, and discusses the advantages of the use of the modified model over the use of the previous model. EDTM uses crowd flow theory and discrete computational methods to identify various width of egress that are available to the occupants for movement,  which is more accurate and practicable because the crowd flow rate is variable, while the crowd flow rate as the function of crowd density based on the empirical relations between density and velocity of crowd movement. A case of stadium stand egress is chosen for the validity of EDTM, and a comparison of EDTM with previous model and computer simulation indicates that both the EDTM and the simulation curves are found to give better predictions than the previous model. Based upon the results, EDTM shows great value in dealing with stadium,  especially the2008Beijing Olympic stadium, evacuation time calculation, egress performance design, selecting and optimizing of routes and so on.

Figures

图 1

图 2

图 3

图 4

图 5

图 6

References

[ 1 ] Spearpoint M .The effect of pre-evacuation distributions on evacuation times in the simulex model [J] .Journal of Fire Protection Engineering ,2004 ,14 :12 ~ 14 link1

[ 2 ] 袁理明 .范维澄 .建筑火灾中人员安全疏散时间的 预测[J] .自然灾害学报 ,1977 ,6(2) :28 ~ 33 link1

[ 3 ] Togawa K . Study of Fire Escapes Basing on the Observations of Multiple Currents [R] . Tokyo :Report No.14 , Building Research Institute , Ministry of Construction ,Japan ,1995

[ 4 ] Pauls J L . Effective width model for evacuation flow in buildings [A] . Proceedings of Workshop on Engineering Applications of Fire Technology [C] . National Bureau of Slandards ,1980 .215 ~ 232

[ 5 ] Predtechensk V M ,Milinsk A I .Planning for Foot Traffic Flow in Buildings [M] .New Delhi :Amerind Publishing , 1978

[ 6 ] Fruin J . Pedestrian Planning and Design [ M] . The Metropolitan Association of Urban Designers and Environmental Planners .New York ,1971

[ 7 ] Stahl F . BFIRES II : A Behavior-based Computer Simulation of Emergency Egress During Fires [J] , Fire Technology ,1982 ,18(1) :49 ~ 65 link1

[ 8 ] Nelson H E , MacLennan H A . Emergency Movement , SFPE Handbook of fire Protection Engineering [M] .NFPA Quincy MA ,USA ,1988

[ 9 ] Poyner B , Robinson D , Hughes N , et al . Safety in Football Stadia : A Method of Assessment [R] . London : Scicon Scientific Control Systems Limited ,1972

[10] Purser D A , Bensilum M .Quantification of behaviour for engineering design standards and escape time calculationsm [J] ,Safety Science ,2001 ,26 ,157 ~ 182 link1

[11] 第 29 届奥林匹克运动会组织委员会 .北京奥运行 动规划(BOCOG) [EB/OL] . http ://en .beijing - 2008 . org/76/29/column211612976 .shtml ,2002 - 03 - 28

[12] Hoskin K . Fire Protection and Evacuation Procedures of Stadia Venues in New Zealand [D] . Christchurch , New Zealand :University of Canterbury ,2004 .3 ~ 7

[13] 温丽敏 ,陈 全 ,陈宝智 .火灾中群集疏散的设计 方法及计算机仿真[J] . 东北大学学报 , 自然科学 版 ,1998 ,19(5) :445 ~ 447 link1

[14] Still G . K . Crowd Dynamics [D/OL] . Coventry , UK : University of Warwick ,http ://www .crowddynamics .com/Thesis/Chapter % 205 .htm ,2000

[15] Daamen W . H . Controlled experiments to derive walking behaviour [ J ] . European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research ,2003 ,3(1) :39 ~ 59 link1

[16] Lo S M , Z . Fang Z , P . Lin P , et al . An evacuation model: the SGEM package [ J] , Fire Safety Journal , 2004 ,39 :169 ~ 190 link1

[17] 刘 禹 ,林 威 ,李德志 .奥运场馆人群疏散定量 模型[R] .哈尔滨工业大学奥林匹克数学竞赛 ,2002

[18] 曾 涛 ,体育建筑设计手册[M] .北京 :中国建筑工 业出版社 ,2001 .114 ~ 114

[19] Stationery Office/ DCMS/The Scottish Office . Guide to Safety at Sports Grounds ( the Green Guide) ( Fourth Edition) [C] .1997

Related Research