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Decentralised energy and its performance assessment models

Ting WU, Dong-Ling XU, Jian-Bo YANG

Frontiers of Engineering Management 2021, Volume 8, Issue 2, Pages 183-198 doi: 10.1007/s42524-020-0148-7

Abstract: Energy development concerns not only the development of renewable energies but also the shift from centralised to clean, decentralised power generation. The development of decentralised energy (DE) is a core part of the energy and economic strategies being adopted around the world that drives the progress toward a highly sustainable future. This paper reviews the concepts, development status, trends, benefits and challenges of DE systems and analyses the existing models and methods for assessing the performance of these systems. A hierarchical decision model for evaluating the performance of DE systems is also constructed based on the framework of multiple criteria decision analysis, which considers the identification, definition and assessment grade of decision criteria. The evidential reasoning approach is applied to aggregate assessment information in a case study of the implementation of an intelligent decision system. Sensitivity and trade-off analyses are also conducted to show how the proposed model can be used to support decision making in DE systems.

Keywords： decentralised energy assessment model MCDA evidential reasoning sensitivity analysis