Journal Home Online First Current Issue Archive For Authors Journal Information 中文版

Strategic Study of CAE >> 2005, Volume 7, Issue 12

Study on Acquisition Risk Identification for Weapon and Equipment Based on the Full Life Cycle

1. Institute of Policy and Management, CAS , Beijing 100080, China

2. Business School, University of Science and Technology of China , Hefei 230026, China

3. The Equipment Institute of the Second Artillery, Beijing 100085, China

4. Armored Force Engineering Institute , Beijing 100072, China

Funding project:“十五”国防重大预研资助项目(413040502) Received: 2005-02-03 Revised: 2005-05-13 Available online: 2005-12-20

Next Previous

Abstract

Risk identification is the key technology of acquisition risk management for weapon and equipment. It has a direct and essential effect on the success of acquisition risk management for weapon and equipment. This paper discusses the concept of the full life cycle, presents the principle and the procedure of acquisition risk identification. In addition to this, the paper studies the method of acquisition risk identification and puts forward the selective scheme of acquisition risk identification method in every phase of the full life cycle. In the end, the paper analyzes the risk in every phase of the weapon and equipment's full life cycle. All of this plays a basic role in the systematic management of acquisition risk for weapon and equipment.

Figures

图1

References

[ 1 ] 邹国晨, 赵澄谋, 邱衡.武器装备采办管理[M].北京:国防工业出版社, 2003

[ 2 ] Brekka L T, Vlay G J.Life cycle risk management[J].International Journal of Project Management, 1999, (11) :18~21

[ 3 ] Maj R J.Risk in the F-22 Program[J].RiskManagement, 1996, (7) :68~74

[ 4 ] 钱学森, 于景元, 戴汝为.一个科学新领域———开放的复杂巨系统及其方法论[J].自然杂志, 1990, 13 (1) :3~10 link1

[ 5 ] 田广明, 韩毅, 李原.面向航空项目的风险识别技术研究[J].工业工程与管理, 2004, 3:26~ link1

[ 6 ] Defense Acquisition University Defense SystemsManagement College.Risk Management Guide forDoD Acquisition (Fourth Edition) [M].Virginia:Defense Systems Management College Press, 1998.29~31

[ 7 ] 卢有杰, 卢家仪.项目风险管理[M].北京:清华大学出版社, 1998.16~26. link1

[ 8 ] 邱菀华.现代项目风险管理方法与实践[M].北京:科学出版社, 2003.59~70 link1

[ 9 ] (美) 约翰.拉夫特里著, 项目管理风险分析.李清立译.[M].北京:机械工业出版社, 2003.13~17 link1

[10] Robert O B.Analysis of current department of defenserisk management practices in weapon systemacquisition[A].A case study of the advancedamphibious assualt vehicle PDRR and SDD riskmanagement practices[D]California:NavalPostgraduate School, 2003

[11] James P R.A risk management model for the federalacquisition process[D].California:NavalPostgraduate School, 1999

[12] Ansell J W.Risk:analysis assessment andmanagement[M].New York:New York Press, 1992.34~63

[13] 黄芬, 孟晓雄.国外大型航天项目的风险管理[J].航天工业管理, 1998, (10) :44~46 link1

[14] 杨彩霞, 徐渝, 杨青.航天项目风险指标体系的分析与构建[J].航天工业管理, 2003, (3) :17~19 link1

[15] 陈军伟.武器装备采办中的技术风险评估研究[D].北京:装甲兵工程学院, 2004

[16] 王德军.我军武器装备采办风险管理研究[D].长沙:国防科学技术大学研究生院, 2002 link1

[17] 刘洁.武器装备采办风险管理研究[D].北京:北京大学研究生院, 2002

[18] Cynthia C C.Identifying and managing risks forautomatic test systems[J].IEEE AES SystemsMagazine, 2000, 9:9~12

[19] Robert J C.The Effectiveness of working group riskidentification and assessment techniques[J].International Journal of Project Management, 1998, 16:56~71

[20] 沈建明.项目风险管理[M].北京:机械工业出版社, 2004.22~29 link1

Related Research