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Strategic Study of CAE >> 2006, Volume 8, Issue 10

The Hypothesis of Safety Theory

1. Heilongjiang Science & Technology Institute , Harbin 150027, China

2. China Golddeal, Beijing 100045, China

Received: 2005-06-06 Available online: 2006-10-20

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Abstract

Three basic types of accidents are proposed in this paper, that is, inevitable, random and man-fault accident types, which are described by mathematical equations, so a quantificational concept of safety theory is defined. From this point, traditional safety theories are supported by mathematical equations. At the same time, the general approaches to prevent accidents are outlined.

Figures

图1 事故与诱发因素关系

图2 自然事故分布规律

图3 随机事故分布状态

图4 事故与人们规范活动关系

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