2009, Volume 11, Issue 6
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2009, Volume 11, Issue 6
Review on the prediction before the Wenchuan Earthquake
The Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, Lanzhou 730000,China
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Abstract
According to the index of solar activity we predicted in 2006 that during 2007 ~2008 an earthquake M >7 will possibly occur in segment between Tianshui and Kangding.Based on the flood-earthquake chain along the latitude circle of 30°,we predicted in the end of 2007 that an earthquake M6 ~7 will possibly occur in Kangding region in 2008.
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References
[ 1 ] 郭增建,吴瑾冰.中国南北地震带甘川段大震活动规律的讨论[J].高原气象,1999,18(3):409-414 link1
[ 2 ] 郭增建,郭安宁,周可兴.地球物理灾害链[M].西安:地图出版社,2007
[ 3 ] 郭增建,秦保燕,郭安宁.地气耦合与天灾预测[M].北京:地震出版社,1996
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