2016, Volume 18, Issue 4
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2016, Volume 18, Issue 4 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2016.04.002
Assessment of Industrial Maturity Levels: Research and Practice
1. China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation, Beijing 100048, China;
2. General Research Institute for Nonferrous Metals, Beijing 100088, China;
3. China Academy of Strategy on Aerospace Engineering Science and Technology, Beijing 100048, China
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Abstract
Development of an industry follows an objective cyclical law that is an inevitable progression from technological and manufacturing maturity to a developed market for new products. Based on research into the cyclical law of emerging industries combined with system engineering and data decision making, this thesis uses the industrial maturity levels theory and assessment method to assess the maturities of technology, manufacture, product, market, and industry in a consistent, standardized, and quantitative evaluation method. Comprehensive evaluation results are obtained through the integration of evaluation and judgment data from experts. Finally, this method predicts the emerging industrial trend at the end of 13th Five-Year Plan in 2020. This paper uses the material field in the Chinese Academy of Engineering’s important fund subject of research on the cultivation and development planning of China’s strategic emerging industry in the 13th Five-Year Plan as an example of using industrial maturity levels to assess and predict industrial development trends, to analyze their restrictions, and then to propose targeted policy recommendations.
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