2007, Volume 9, Issue 5
Strategic Study of CAE >> 2007, Volume 9, Issue 5
Analysis of GM（1，1）Model and Its Application in Fire Risk Prediction
1. Department of Statistics and Finance, University of Science and Technology of China. Hefei 230027, China ;
2. State Key Laboratory of Fire Science, University of Science and Technology of China. Hefei 230027, China
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Abstract
Theoretical analysis of grey prediction model GM(1, 1) is present in this paper. Monotonicity of predicted value and its variation tendency predicted by GM(1, 1)model is proved. Based on the monotonicity of predicted value and its variation tendency, applicability criterion of GM(1, 1) is brought forward. Example applications of the criterion in fire risk grey prediction are discussed.
Keywords
References
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